Football Prediction: Everton and Arsenal

The early match of the 18th round of the Premier League between Everton and Arsenal will take place at 4 AM on December 21, 2025, at Goodison Park. With their devastating away form and superior squad, Arsenal under Mikel Arteta are considered the clear favorites, promising a comfortable victory against Everton – a team currently unbeaten at home but with a lackluster attack and vulnerable to quick counter-attacks.

Current individual performance before Everton and  Arsenal

Arsenal are currently ranked 2nd in the Premier League table with 35 points after 17 rounds, winning 10, drawing 5, and losing 2, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per game but conceding only 0.9 goals. They are unbeaten in their latest eight away matches (5 wins, three draws), most recently winning 3-1 against Brentford thanks to goals from Saka and Odegaard.

Their streak of 4 consecutive wins in all competitions shows their explosive attack with Saka (8 goals) returning from injury, supporting Havertz (7 goals), and Martinelli’s effective high-pressing. However, the packed schedule with the Champions League forced Arteta to rotate his squad slightly.

Conversely, Everton is 14th with 20 points from 5 wins, five draws, and seven losses, averaging 1 goal per game. They are unbeaten in 7 home games (3 wins, four draws), most recently holding Manchester United to a 0-0 draw despite being under pressure.

The run of 3 consecutive draws has brought stability under David Moyes’ return, with a solid defense thanks to Tarkowski and Branthwaite, but the attack has only scored 17 goals since the start of the season, relying heavily on Iliman Ndiaye (6 goals) and lacking depth in counter-attacking.

Current form of both teams before Everton vs Arsenal
Current form of both teams before Everton vs Arsenal

History of the last five matches between Everton and Arsenal

The encounters between Everton and Arsenal have always favored the Gunners, especially away from home. In the last 25 matches since 2010, Arsenal won 15, Everton won 5, and drew 5, averaging 2.8 goals per game. At Goodison Park, Arsenal have won 8 out of their last 12 matches, scoring 22 goals and conceding only 10.

The most recent match at Emirates in April 2025 ended in a 0-0 draw. In their previous meeting at Goodison (December 2024), Arsenal won 2-1 thanks to a late goal from Trossard. Everton drew 1-1 in 2025 thanks to a penalty from Ndiaye, but Arsenal often exploits high pressing to tear apart Moyes’ five-man defense with breakthroughs from Saka and Martinelli.

Everton’s personnel and tactical formation against Arsenal:

Everton is struggling with injuries to Jack Harrison (thigh muscle, doubtful), Jarrad Branthwaite (minor knee injury), and Dwight McNeil (calf injury). Moyes will likely use a 4-4-2 formation: Pickford in goal, central defense Tarkowski – O’Brien – Mykolenko.

Midfield Gueye – Garner will control the tempo, and the Ndiaye – Beto duo will attack. Ndiaye will be a penalty threat, but Harrison’s absence leaves the right wing weak.

Arsenal are only missing Ben White (knee) and Takehiro Tomiyasu (muscle), but Saka is back in full form. Arteta uses a 4-3-3 formation: Raya is a guaranteed starter, central defense is Saliba – Gabriel – Kiwior.

Midfield is carried by Rice – Odegaard – Merino, the trio of Saka – Havertz – Martinelli press high. Saka is the most dangerous with eight away goals, assisting Odegaard (6 assists).

Analysis of the main and secondary odds, score of the Everton and Arsenal match

The odds for the Everton and Arsenal match on December 20, 2025, are listed as follows:

Analysis of the main and secondary odds, score of the Everton vs Arsenal match
Analysis of the main and secondary odds, score of the Everton and Arsenal match
  • Asian Handicap: Everton +1 @ 1.95 | Arsenal -1 @ 1.98
  • Over/Under: 2.75 goals – Over @ 1.94 | Under @ 1.96
  • European Odds: Everton win 5.50 | Draw 4.00 | Arsenal win 1.65
  • Asian Handicap Prediction: Choosing Arsenal -1 is a good option. The Gunners have won the handicap in 7 out of their last nine away matches, while Everton have lost the handicap in 4 out of their last six home matches. With Saka and Martinelli, Arsenal often lead at halftime (5 out of their last eight matches), easily securing a 2-goal advantage against Everton’s solid defense but slow counter-attack.
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 2.75 is very popular. Six out of Arsenal’s eight away matches have gone over, averaging two goals. Everton, despite their defensive approach, have had over two goals in 5 out of their seven home matches, and their head-to-head history shows 6 out of 9 matches exceeding the mark. Predicted scenario: 1-3 or 0-3, with the over likely to win due to a mistake from Tarkowski’s aerial ball.
  • Corner Bet: Arsenal -5 corners for the whole match – choose Arsenal @ 1.90. They average 6.8 corners per away game, while Everton only managed 4.5 corners at home.

Predicted score for the December 20th match, Everton and Arsenal:

Predicted full-time score: Everton and Arsenal: 1-3.

  • Bukayo Saka to score (odds 1.85)
  • Arsenal to win the first half (odds 1.80)
  • Both teams to score (odds 1.75)

Conclusion:

With consistent away form, a superior head-to-head record, and Saka’s explosive performance, a reversal of fortune is unlikely for Everton against Arsenal.

Follow the Guide on Betting Online Now live Football Predictions, Everton may hold out in the first half thanks to aerial situations, but when Arsenal increases the tempo, Goodison Park will likely witness another relentless attack from the Gunners.

The reasonable betting choice is Arsenal -1 for the whole match, combined with Over 2.75 and a Saka goal to maximize profit, thus helping Arsenal continue to chase the top spot. The night at Goodison will be cold not only because of the weather, but also because of the pressure Arsenal will create.

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